November 04, 2004

Yet another way to look at the U.S. election results.

This one comes from a Flash presentation on the election done by the French daily paper, Le Monde.

US vote shift
[Map: Le Monde]

What the map shows is the shift toward or away from the Republicans in US counties. Red is toward the GOP, blue is toward the Democrats. The more intense the shade, the greater the shift. (You'll notice that there is only one color used for shifts toward the Democrats, sadly.)

[If you go to the Flash presentation where we got the map (here), you can zoom in on it and the other maps to see detail. The map you want is 'Evolution du vote ...']

The overall story of the map is pretty depressing — the shift toward the Republicans is pronounced, even in the blue states. But there are these really interesting shifts toward the Democrats in the rural West and in some of the South. We really hope Democratic strategists are noticing this and trying to figure out what's going on in these places that seem to go against the trend.

Via Chris at Serendipity.

Posted by Magpie at November 4, 2004 07:58 PM | US Politics | TrackBack(1) | Technorati links |

Well .. then change your agenda if you want to represent real electorate as opposed to some idealistic principles.

After all, you are there to serve the people, not the other way around …

Posted by: kurio at November 4, 2004 08:47 PM

and you mean exactly what by that comment?

Posted by: Magpie at November 4, 2004 10:02 PM

That is a really interesting map... for example, maybe part of the reason a couple of the networks hesitated on calling Mississippi, South Carolina, and Virginia for Bush is that they were oversampling in those "pale blue" counties. I wonder how much of that was based on higher African-American turnout.

Another interesting sign is the shift in Montana and Wyoming. Maybe it's because Bush partisans stayed home because they knew those states were so safe for Bush; on the other hand, this also seems to be a sign that the "base strategy" fell flat in the Rockies which are, arguably, somewhat "live and let live" sort of places (e.g., while Montana voted to ban gay marriage it also voted in favor of medical marijuana). Also, Montana elected a Democratic governor this year, and Wyoming's governor is another Democrat, elected in 2002.

Posted by: Patience at November 4, 2004 10:05 PM

I don't know about the accuracy of the map, because both CDs in Maine produced higher margins for Kerry than they did for Gore in 2000. We've definitely gotten bluer up here.

Posted by: MB at November 5, 2004 05:20 PM