October 30, 2004

OBL's Endorsement of Bush

Some thoughts on the OBL tape. There are two possibilities for this tape: 1) the tape was genuinely Osama bin Laden and he wants to influence the election, or 2) it was created by the Bush team as a classic October surprise from one of our country's nastiest political operatives - Karl Rove.

If it is a legitimate tape of Osama bin Laden, then the only reason he made this tape was to throw the election to George W Bush. Despite the words on the tape, the main reason for this tape now is to make sure that the American public elect GWB who is the perfect patsy for bin Laden. OBL has done very well with Bush as his opponent - Bush has been a Godsend for him as he has ignited the passions of the Islamic world in ways bin Laden could only pray for.

As I noted after the start of the Iraq war, it was remarkable to see how well Bush delivered on OBL's goals:

From driving U.S. troops out of Saudi Arabia to replacing authoritarian Arab governments with fundamentalist Islamic systems, bin Laden's ambition has swelled and shifted over time. And as his aspirations have grown, it has become more difficult for policymakers to imagine any plausible changes in U.S. policy that could cause him to call off the "jihad," or holy war, he declared against America in 1996.

And if this was OBL, then he is a master strategist who understands human motivation extremely well. Can you imagine a better way to get Bush to act in the most brutal and reckless way than to have OBL belittle him and taunt him in the manner he did in this tape? If Bush is elected on November 2nd, watch him act in an even more callous manner in Iraq.

As Billmon said, this is OBL's endorsement of Bush. A virtual terrorist attack to create anxiety and confusion on the part of the American public that wants to have a strong, bold, resolute leader like George W Bush to keep the bogeyman at bay.

Will it be enough to get George W Bush elected? Not if we act on our GOTV efforts. This election is not over until we've gotten everyone to the polls - nothing should keep us from executing on our plans. Because Bush is vulnerable and we can't let bin Laden select our president for us any more than we can let Karl Rove trick people into voting for the guy who has proven he is a colossal failure on the war against terrorists.

Posted by Mary at October 30, 2004 01:15 AM | Elections | Technorati links |
Comments

You're over analysing this. If Osama had really sat back and thought what to do to get Bush re-selected he'd have concluded "nothing" since all the world was saying Bush was going to win anyway. Why rock the boat?

I don't think Osama gives a shit which of them is president. After the incredible success of 9-11 he presumably feels his belief that God is on his side is completely validated. He's seen (upfront and personal) that Allah will use people like him to crush evil empires. Been there done that - in Afghanistan.

He knows he's going to win regardless of who is president.

He was taking the piss out of Bush and I believe making a genuine message of conciliation to the American people (not their leaders). He sympathised with the American people saying that he understood what it was like to be ruled by a violent fuck-up who only got his position by nepotism. In his mind Kerry will likely be no different. He called on Americans to reject both Bush and Kerry and take their security into their own hands. He sought to explain his actions and the deaths he caused in terms Americans can understand - as a reaction to prior aggression.

Posted by: Naaah at October 30, 2004 10:00 AM

As Wesley Clark said last night, roughly, 'I don't know who Osama bin Laden backs for president, and I don't care. He's a mass murderer and a criminal.' But we'll see what happens when the press gets through with it, because they do seem to care.

It seems very unlikely that Rove had anything to do with this, except to try to leverage it after the fact. But you're right that he's taunting us, and probably with the intention of causing an overreaction, of negating any voice of moderation.

Posted by: natasha at October 30, 2004 12:31 PM

Natasha said:

"It seems very unlikely that Rove had anything to do with this, except to try to leverage it after the fact. But you're right that he's taunting us, and probably with the intention of causing an overreaction, of negating any voice of moderation."

Hmmmm...who's the taunting "he" there? Bin Laden or Rove? ;-)

Posted by: Rob A. at October 30, 2004 10:22 PM