April 29, 2004

Dubya's dropping poll numbers.

They continue to drop, and there's evidence that the war in Iraq is becoming an albatross around Dubya's neck.

According to a new CBS/NY Times poll, the prez's popularity is at an all-time low — 44 percent of those polled approve of how he's doing his job. This is is a huge drop from a year ago, when Dubya's approval rating stood at 67 percent, and a drop of five points since the beginning of March when fighting in Iraq picked up.

If the presidential election was held today, the poll found, John Kerry would edge out Dubya, by 46 percent to 44 percent. Since the poll's margin of error is 3 percent, this is a statistical dead heat. Even if Ralph Nader is put into the equation, Dubya only gets a two-point lead — another dead heat.

The poll also showed dropping support for both the war in Iraq and for Dubya's conduct in Iraq in the last year. Only 32 percent of those polled thought that, a year ago, Iraq was a threat that required immediate military action. They also disliked the way Dubya has handled Iraq — only 41 percent approve of his actions.

Via AP.

More: The NY Times article on the poll offers more details and analysis.

The poll suggested that American attitudes about the war were shifting in response to a daily barrage of disturbing images and news reports. Mr. Bush's advisers have asserted that Americans long ago made up their minds that the war was justified, and that violent flare-ups in Iraq would not hurt the president politically as long as the United States remained committed to creating a stable democracy there.

But the Times/CBS poll appeared to bolster the view of many Democrats that the intensified violence in Iraq would inevitably lead to questions about the wisdom of the war and Mr. Bush's leadership.

Posted by Magpie at April 29, 2004 04:14 AM | US Politics | Technorati links |

let us hope and pray this trend continues

Posted by: rumguy at April 29, 2004 07:24 AM