February 27, 2004

Is Dubya running the biggest deficit in US history?

Maybe, and maybe not.

FactCheck.org has sorted through a bunch of historical budget data, and it turns out that Dubya's deficit is the biggest only if you look at the raw dollar amounts. If you convert earlier figures into 2004 dollars, it turns out that Dubya's deficit was equalled or surpassed by both Bush the First (twice) and Ronald Reagan (four times).

But before you start thinking that these earlier deficits mean that Dubya has been less irresponsible than his critics claim, remember the ongoing effect that the prez's tax cuts will have on future deficits, and the budgetary drag caused by the continuing costs associated with Dubya's military adventure in Iraq. Certainly, Bill Clinton would never have been able to bring the budget into balance had he had inherited those constraints from his predecessor in office.

And we would be remiss if we didn't point out that all of the largest deficits in US history came while Republicans held the presidency. You know the Republicans, don't you? The party that's always pointing out how badly the Democrats handle the federal budget and run the economy?

Posted by Magpie at February 27, 2004 06:22 PM | TrackBack
Comments

Also, let's not forget that Bush started with a monster of a surplus. I suspect he's crashed the economy faster than anyone.

Posted by: tristero on February 27, 2004 08:03 PM

You forgot to mention the coming attractions--the fact that the SS and Medicare bills are coming due. That makes the current deficit far more potentially disastrous than the previous ones. When you listen to economists, they're not freaking out about the current deficit; it's what's coming in a few years that has them scared.

Posted by: Rebecca Allen, PhD on February 27, 2004 08:52 PM

This year's on-budget deficit for the general operations of the government (in other words excluding the SS and other trust fund surpluses) will be the highest since WW II both in absolute dollars and as a percentage of GDP. See here

Posted by: Dwight Meredith on February 28, 2004 10:36 PM
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